Posts Tagged ‘stock market guide’

Fannie and Freddie - Liquidity for Main Street or Wall Street?

Monday, September 8th, 2008

So Freddie and Fannie got what “the market” wanted? $5.3tr divided by 300m US citizens is about $17,600 each for every man woman and child. I bet “the market” is drinking Cristal in Manhattan now…stuffing $100 bills into lap dancers g-strings and slapping each others backs at such coup.

Hey big spender! So nice of the government to spend your money to help its Wall Street buddies. Now…lets see if the housing market improves in the next few months.

In order for that to happen, the once implicit government guarantee (of GSEs) to foreign bond holders has to entice the large investors in Fannie and Freddie debt (mainly the central banks of China and Japan) to start investing again in US mortgage backed securities to unfreeze the mortgage market.

There was always a kind of unwritten rule with Fannie and Freddie that they were not allowed to fail…and this made sense. They are the defacto brokers of US wholesale mortgages.

Still, this implicit guarantee didn’t stop China and Japan from drastically scaling back their activities in the US mortgage market a year ago. Now that the tax payer owns them outright, and the implicit guarantee has become explicit, will this make any difference to Fannie and Freddie’s largest investors?
I can’t see why it should. Nothing much has changed from the point of view of Japan and China. They always assumed that their bond investments in Fannie and Freddie were safe and now that assumption has been cast in stone on the back of US taxpayers…whats the big difference? Answers on a postcard please.

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Stock Market Education - Control Your Emotions!

Monday, September 8th, 2008

Greed and fear are two of the most powerful emotions that human beings have. Fear is much more powerful than love and hope. Greed blinds us to obvious clues that we should sell, fear drives us to sell when we should perhaps hold. Understanding how our emotions effect use are part of the stock market basics.

When you can control your emotions and make decisions within a solid framework based on something more concrete than feelings, all trading results improve. For many new traders, the ability to do this is difficult as they haven’t yet found a sound set of principles which free them from the slavery (and poverty) of their emotions.

Let the other guys get emotional….you should be getting smart and expanding your stock market education so that you can rise above base emotional reactions.

How do we control our emotions?? Well, some people use yoga, some use meditation, others use exercise and some use ulcers and heart attacks! Its all about what works for you! :)

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Stock Market Basics - Research Your Way To Riches!

Thursday, September 4th, 2008

In pulling back the curtain on the stock market basics, this is the second article in the series of why traders fail.

To many mediocre and unsuccessful traders, lack of control over research may sound like a strange point to pick as one which can lead to poor trading results. However, every exceptional and successful trader I know would say methodical stock market research is a corner stone of their success.

Let’s look at the 2 opposing positions. Many traders who do “OK” trade on news, tips, ideas that come across their desk or over the newswire, or some other haphazard method for finding trades. A key characteristic of their trading is that it is reactive.

The exceptional trader doesn’t take such risks…he is proactive. He is purposefully and methodically trawling the markets looking for opportunities. His research is regular, wide and eventually deep. His missed opportunities are few and far between and the quality of his average trades far surpasses the average trades of reactive traders. This is simply because he has a greater catchment area in which to find trades…probability works on his side because a methodical and repeated process throws up many sterling opportunities regularly.

So, to try to ensure repeated or higher success in the markets, try and do your research methodically. I outline a fool proof method for doing this type of research in my stock market course. If you aren’t researching methodically and are a reactive trader, you are without question leaving money on the table over a long enough time horizon…and this could come back to bite you….hard.

Why risk it? As Nike says….Just Do It! (right from now on).

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